4 hours (Down -$200) There Goes the Chair

Tuesday Commentary 3/16/2010

I’m going to repeat myself like a broken record before I begin here:

Three goals tonight:

1)  Don’t lose your temper.

2)  10-12 table Steady the entire session.

3)  Try to make sure at least half of the tables are NORMAL SPEED.

AND READ YOUR EXPLANATION AGAIN YOU BLOWOUT:

“Sounds easy right?  Yeah sure……..

Since I’ve pretty much hit rock bottom with online poker these goals are essential.  I can’t get mad it’s minus EV.  I have to accept that I’m never going to win again.  I’ll lose to every two outer, and if I happen to win it’s a bonus.  I can’t keep getting mad over what I can’t control.

Instead of:

OK I’m in with the best hand….. please no ace please no ace please no ace………. FUCK RIVER ACE I’M GOING TO THROW A CHAIR ACROSS THE ROOM

TRY:

Ok I’m in with the best hand, I did my job; the outcome is irrelevant.  Take some notes and move on, REMAIN IN CONTROL OR LOG.

And the thing is I’m losing some money when I freak out, it’s a leak.  I can’t control the cards, but I can control how I react.  I need to stay focused, keep taking notes, organize my tables logically, and constantly scan for profitable tables to join (and unprofitable tables to phase out).

12 tabling steady is going to be essential.  I haven’t been organized.  Tables have been flying all over the place anywhere from 6 to 14.  Tonight I’m going to keep in alphabetically and 12.  TWO IN EACH SLOT, double-stacked on top of each other.  When a table becomes unprofitable I will pull the table, put that slot on notice and REPLACE IT. 

So if I completely lose again tonight and stick to these goals I need to be happy with myself.  EDIT: I DO have the maturity to accomplish these goals.

Number 3 is also important.  Too many fast tables are flying around.  Try to search for tables that are normal speed as a priority.  They are harder to find, but when you do find them they are worth the search.  Less stress is always better.”

9:00 P.M

Dealt AA, raise big pre.  Clown without a clue calls pre with J9 off.  He goes all in on the flop with top pair jack.  RIVER NINE.  THANKS STARS.  It doesn’t take long does it?  Long day at work trying not to fucking lose it already on shit like.  Do it again you bull-shit site.  See how fast I log and deposit on another site.

Lost another buy in with top pair.  Out—kicked by one rank higher, have to play that there no regrets fine.

Enormous 28 all in pre with AK on table 5  HE WINS WITH AA OF COURSE, one of the loosest fundamentally bad players on the table.  I didn’t think in a million years Id win that on this rigged site.  Why don’t you just come over and hit my monitor with a bat?    But I’m not unlucky right?  That’s not -EV, just total horseshit to not even have 4 outs there.

9:50 p.m

Opponent on table 4 just hung himself going to war with Q2 off.   Doubled at least one table tonight.  I have no idea where that guy gets his money, but it’s certainly not from poker.

Meanwhile All in pre table 7 QQ, DUDE CALLS WITH A10 AND FLOPS THE ACE AND TEN.  Anything else stars?  Want to come over with the bat now?

Good to know someone’s ace is getting paid off tonight, its’certainly not mine.  Sometimes is difficult to accept my AK all in pre loses every time, but someone can make that call and hit with A10 of all hands wtf.  Shutting down this commentary a bit, trying to focus.

20 all in pre table 4 with QQ… I win a race vs AK, that’s a first

5 Seconds later 99 destroyed my K8 on another table.

10:50 p.m

All in 4-bet pre with JJ $24.  Some clown calls with QK and hits the queen on the river.  That sums up the night.  What a horrible call wow.  Did he ever consider I don't know I'm more likely to have AK or AQ there?  But fish like this are so used to being rewarded playing garbage they just can’t lay it , they wont.  AND VS ME THEY WIN WHEN THEY PLAY IT.

11:10 p.m

Another full buy-in lost all in on the flop, nails one of his 8 outs on the river.  Another horrible play rewarded.

11:40 p.m

$18 all in pre with AA table 12  Holds on against QQ that’s a refreshing change of pace.

12:00 a.m

AK beaten my SIX-NINE all in pre lol I actually flopped a pair and he still gets awarded with the river straight.

12:20

Logging in 20 minutes down about -$200 I have no fucking idea how.  I made one mistake the entire night.  Again complete doom-switch.  Thanks for the 10 buy in screw stars.  Not even sure how that’s possible in 4 hours.  THERE GOES THE CHAIR.  I’m so pissed off I’m literally shaking.  Funny I really didn’t lose it until I saw the final net loss.

What can I say some people shouldn’t play poker.  Might be dropping to full buy in faster then I thought.  I’m really having trouble dealing with this.  HEM says -$135 EV for the 4 hours whatever the fuck that means I don’t really care anymore.  I’m sure if I ran normal the session would have been fine.  Back to 85 buy ins; count down to busto.

You know what I’m not even going to beat myself up over this bull-shit.  How about I go here on HEM, and let’s see SORT BY TOP 15 HANDS where I lost the most money as a sample size.  These hands account for -$263.  If I won half of these hands I would have been even for the session, because half of these hands would account for $263.  Since by -$130 sure I lost the 130, but I also add on the money I would have won if I took down the pot so that’s $263 for winning HALF these hands.  Here we go, let’s see if a normal person would lose all ten of these hands.  I’m just going to bold 5 hands I could have won, and I’ll bold one out of 3 races lost in a row.  Since someone should theoretically at least be able to hold ONE OUT OF THREE fucking races.  Also let’s bold 1 out of three coolers, because a normal person would certainly be on the lucky side on ONE of those THREE fucking coolers:

Hand 1:  AK < AA  (-$30).  Even more unlucky was the fact I happened to have a bigger stack here to lose.  Cooler hand 1.

Hand 2:  1010< AA (-$20).  This was all in with an over-pair on the flop.  I was the aggressor and he flat called pre with AA.  Also one of the looser players on the table, no way I get away from that.  Cooler hand 2.

Hand 3:  JJ<QK (-$20).  Push all in 4-bet pre.  He had no right calling this with QK shit, but river queen, thanks stars.  Let’s call it race #1, even know it’s an awful preflop call.

Hand 4:  AK<JJ (-$20).  I limped pre here trying to mix it up and trap.  Someone also limped behind with JJ.  I flopped top pair, he flopped the set.  Even if he isn’t retarded and there is raise pre same result.  Let’s call in race #2 lost.

Hand 5: 99<K9 (-$20).  I raised here pre he calls.  Flop 67 K, He checks, I bet, he calls.  TURN KING.  So now I’m thinking he must be full of shit, and end up getting all in.  Of course he hit the top pair, and I can't get away thanks to the second king on the turn.  I'd have the ability to pretty much shut it down if the turn was anything but a king.  Then again what is he check calling wtih on the flop?  He's loose and I was thinking more of a draw hand.  The king doesn't scare me all that much on the flop, figured he raises with AK, didn't know his range was K9 calling a raise pre.  Ok maybe I could get away but not really, after the second turn bet I’m already pot committed.

Hand 6: QQ<A10 (-$20).  This was all in pre as I four bet.  He of course drills his ace on the flop.  The normal person should win this what 70%+?

Hand 7:  AA<J9o (-$20).  This was all in on the flop and he calls with top pair.  River NINE. Complete b.s.  This is bolded as well.

Hand 8:  AK< JJ (-$17).  The third race lost in a row.  LET’S BOLD IT.

Hand 9:  AK < QJ (-$17).  This guy was very loose, I tried to bluff him out on the turn here betting all in $10 with ace high reading him as weak.  Of course he closed his eyes and called with top pair, weak kicker.  Fine I fucked up here, even know I’m fine with the play I made.

Hand 10:  AK < QQ (-$16.50).  All in pre 4th race lost in a row.

I should have won at least 3 of the above hands running normal putting me around normal.  Let’s do a few more just for fun, I can't leave out two of my favorite:

Hand 11:  K9 < J7 (-$15).  This was all in post, I was on the BB.  Board (5,8,9)  with flush draw out he didn’t,  I get all in on the flop with top pair and another short-stacker calls with J7 OFF (double-barrel straight draw 8 outs.  The 8 outs weren’t even fucking clean outs because of the flush draw out). Anyways Turn 3, river TEN.  Bolding this, would normally win around 70% and he had  NO BUSINESS even limping in this pre from an early position.

Hand 12:  AK<J7 (-$12.50).  All in pre.  Flop is K,8,7.  Turn 3, river TEN.  Last time I checked AK is a decent favorite to beat J7 all in pre so let’s bold this as well.

I’m about done here, just had to vent some.  I’m not sure how many sessions I can run like shit and hang on.  I need a session where I run good (God FORBID).  One god-damn session.  This has gone on long enough.

Fuck PokerStars, maybe I should seriously consider a change of sites, though I guess I'm kinda screwed over because of the FPP situation.  Then again I could always just use the FPPs to buy into 5 Sunday Millions in a row and say screw it all.  Yeah it's stupid to blame the site, but I need scape-goat.

It's also 1:30 a.m and i'll be miserable because of the loss and tired all day tomorrow.  Can't wait to see my fucking bitch of a boss in the morning.

-bag



Comments

[baglife]

Wow I was in a great mood last night........

[FkCoolers]

You should really think about getting on to a different site with weaker cash games that offers rakeback. I haven't looked into the details of the perks of a Supernova account but if you played the required number of hands to reach Supernova but got 30% rakeback the whole time, would that be better than whatever you get for reaching Supernova status?

Minus all those cool fucking stars, of course!!!111!

[baglife]

FK,

I'm in a tough situation here. I feel like it's completely ridiculous to not be at least breaking even, but I keep running terribly in sessions like the one mentioned above. It seems all my woes have pretty much occurred in 40 hours of playing time, which isn't a big sample size. But it sort-of is, I mean I'm playing 12 tables at once during many of those hours, so you think it would balance.

It would be worth it if I could play around BREAK EVEN until I hit Supernova, but it just really isn't happening right now. With Supernova I could purchase a $1,000 instant milestone bonus for 50,000 FPPs immediately and buy a $1,500 rake-back bonus (which you have to clear to release) for 100,000 FPPs. Also if Stars ups the buy-in mid-April to 35BB then this plan would be screwed all together. Then I'd have to drop to 50NL full buy-in (but I'd be clearing far less FPPs so Supernova wouldn't even be a feasible goal for a while).

Right now I'm getting rake-back, but I'm reluctant to use it, you get better deals using FPPs at SuperNova level. I could use 50,000 FPPs to buy a $650 bonus now, but with SN I could buy $1500 bonus or whatever for 100,000 FPPS (and keep re-buying this bonus every time I cleared). I have to check the exact numbers at home, but I'm pretty sure this is close to accurate. I've already dumped $1200 into this project, I still have "a lot" of that in my roll, but I'm really concerned with the way things are going.

I'd hate to put more than $600 a month into this, but I might have to. I haven't given up yet, but it's come to a point where I really have to step-back and evaluate what exactly I am willing to comfortably put in here. Do I want to sit there and dump in $1200 a month when I run like shit with no turn around in sight? Or dump nearly everything I make per month at my job just to push for Nova? When I started the day job two years ago It's main purpose was to build a bankroll anyway, so I could justify it that way.

Probably I could live with dumping $600 more this month if my 85 buy-ins get slammed to around 50 (which I'm guessing will happen, I have zero faith to run normal at this point). But I also have a $650 bonus I can use at anytime, which I would use as an alternative to putting $600 more on Stars this month. Right now I'm only 3/10 's of the way to Supernova. No one said this shit would be easy.

FML

-bag

EDIT (I just decided I'm going to take the $650 bonus for 50,000 FPP if I drop to 50 buy ins, I'm just feeling way to pressured right now)

[FkCoolers]

Ok, that makes sense. So once you start running like a normal player you'll see the added benefits.

I will say that playing 2,000 hands per day or so means you probably ARE running like a normal person. That's an ungodly amount of hands to play and so you're also going to see days where you win every flip and hold in every 80/20 spot which is also very unrealistic.

Also, you'll end up forgetting about those days and only remembering the shitty ones so it's tough to remain unbiased.

[baglife]

"so you're also going to see days where you win every flip and hold in every 80/20 spot which is also very unrealistic. "

Haven't seen any of those yet.

[SSProdigy]

It looks like shortstacking is going to be 100% banned on stars. However, in a limited sample-it looks like single table sngs can be beaten in a similar manner. keep it on the down low though if you choose to go that route. If you want to get SN, and possibly even elite (still)-you might want to try single table sngs ($20 and up). Good luck, and don't give up.

[Baglife]

SS,

Thanks for the heads up. Regarding SSing on Stars, I've been occasionally checking the official Stars buy-in forum on 2+2 and there hasn't been any official announcement yet. As for the single table buy in SNGs; interesting let me know how that works out. I can certainly see how some of the aspects of the SNG are similar.

I plan to be working to transition into full buy-in as soon as possible.

-bag

[Shania]

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