Unexpected Win and A Tale of Greed
Monday, December 7, 2009 at 5:01PM
Baglife

I have an hour left at work until I can escape for 16 hours, at least in a relative sense.  I just over-heard my boss have a conversation with a co-worker next to me that sort-of annoyed me so what better time to throw in a post? 

Saturday I decided to cram in a few hours of online poker before my party.  I didn’t have much time so I jumped into 5 sit-and-go tournaments total around 3:30 p.m.  4 of the tournaments were $12 120-man SNGs, and 1 tournament was an $11 120 man regular SNG.  Not sure why I decided to make one of them non-turbo, sort of random there.

Had a great payout as I placed first in one of the $12 turbos.  This email confirmation was pretty incredible:

"You finished the tournament in 1st place. A USD 594.00 award has been credited to your Real Money account."

This may not be a lot of money for most, but this is a huge win for me online.  I only a $2450 bankroll on PokerStars.  When I logged out for the day I had profited over $500 net with the first place win, putting my bankroll at $3,053.  I played well, but I’m not going to pretend there isn’t a massive amount of luck involved with any turbo SNG, and that I’m so incredible that my skill made any concept of luck irrelevant.  Hell I consider myself lucky if my AA all in preflop holds against 44.  I mean you have to be LUCKY NOT to get sucked out during these tournaments, even if you are a huge favorite every-time you get all of your chips in.

What I can say is that overall I was very pleased with my play; especially once it was down to the final 15.  I was not scared money, I was playing to win, not bubble out.  I also felt I would not have placed 1st in the event without my heads-up research and SNG sessions played during the past few months.  I started steam-rolling once it got down to the final 4 players.

I also vividly remember an interaction with my final opponent that was a short tale of greed in my book.  Keep in mind that placing first is worth about $200 more than finishing second.  At one point there were just 2 players left in the tournament (including myself).  With a 2 to 1 chip lead I asked my opponent:

“Hey, would you like me to call an admin?  I would be willing to make a 60-40 deal”

He replied:

“NO”

The next hand I pushed his blind all-in with A-10.  He snap called with A-5.  The A-10 held up and I won.  I couldn’t help but type:

“Your loss”

So he lost himself about $80 by not making a deal.  Once I get to a certain point in a tournament I think it is wise to make a deal.  Considering I only put $12 into this thing and there was an enormous difference between 1st and 2nd place.  I would be happy eliminating luck as much as possible at this point and taking away about $510.  That’s 42 times my entry fee, not a bad day.  Meanwhile, a first place finish with no deal made would win 49 times the entry fee (not much more).  If I played it out and finished 2nd I would have received only 33 times the entry fee.

Furthermore, the 16X difference for finishing 2nd is enormous compared to a mere 7X difference if I made a 60/40 deal.  I thought my opponent would also be getting great value here considering he only had about a THIRD of the remaining chips, but he must have had a drastically different take on this.

At my bullshit corporate job it would take me about 40 hours to clear just over $500 (considering taxes), and here I am pulling in a $582 profit at the conclusion of a 2-hour tournament.  The draws of poker are nearly impossible for me to ignore. 

I don’t have the sample size to determine if it is feasible to play mostly SNG turbos and make a profit consistently enough.  The variance is ridiculous, but then again the players are far worse.  I have a feeling there are people out there who have made a steady income stream on a month-to-month basis playing turbos, but I think you might be living a pretty stressful existence if your livelihood depends on winning SNG turbos.

If anyone has any feedback here please comment?

However, if you play online poker I think it is important to mix it up and take chances in moderation.  I really don’t see a problem with taking a small percentage of your cash game winnings to play some turbos (if you are in fact winning your cash games and a solid tournament player).  The turbo SNG sessions were not a huge financial risk on my part, but I normally wouldn’t invest much money into turbo SNG tournaments due to the variance and luck involved.  I was just pressed for time and wanted to get in some good poker.  I figured even if I busted all the tournaments I would have only been down -$59, and I could live with that. 

I didn’t place in the other 3 $12 turbos.  In the $11 180-man regular I finished 16th, but it was a very small profit margin.

I’m going to cut this post off now.  I was going to discuss the party I had and moving home, but that will be broken up into a separate posts at a later time.

Starting Bankroll:  $2,507

Ending Bankroll:  $3,053

Net Profit:  +$546

Man maybe I should consider playing another session with 5 $12 180-man SNG turbos.  Strike while I’m hot right?

Cheers,

-bag

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